Trump widens disparity in Georgia: Swing State poll

Former President Donald Trump increased his lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in the swing state of Georgia, according to a new poll.

Trump leads Harris by 6 points in Georgia, with 50 percent support to her 44 percent, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll. Another 3% of respondents supported other candidates.

This marks an increase from last month, when the pollster found Trump was up 4 points among voters in Georgia.

Trump also holds a slight 2-point lead in the key swing state of North Carolina.

“All eyes are on the South as Georgia and North Carolina, boosted by 32 electoral votes between them, could make or break both candidates in a race that appears to be tilting toward Trump in Georgia right now and approaching a tight finish in North Carolina,” said Quinnipiac’s Tim Malloy.

The poll conducted between September 25 and 29 interviewed 942 likely voters in Georgia and 953 likely voters in North Carolina. There was a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points for both samples.

Trump won both states in 2016 but only won North Carolina in 2020, with President Joe Biden pulling off a victory in Georgia.

Georgia and North Carolina are key states that both Democrats and Republicans are fighting tooth and nail for.

Trump has a path to victory in the Electoral College if he can bring Georgia and Arizona back into his field and keep North Carolina. He would then only need Wisconsin to win, without other big prizes like Pennsylvania, Michigan or Nevada.

The new research comes after Hurricane Helene struck the southeastern United States.

Professor Christopher Carman, Stevenson Professor of Citizenship in the School of Social and Political Science at the University of Glasgow, said News week: “Quinnipiac University research has a solid reputation and we should take its research seriously. That said, the usual caveats apply that polls are only snapshots in time, so it is important to consider change between past polls.

“Comparing the current poll to the previous one in early September, we found that not much has changed. In Georgia, Trump is up one point and Harris is down one point – this change will be within the poll’s margin of error – meaning that no we can say that there has been a big shift. Likewise, in North Carolina, the race appears to be quite static, with an even narrower margin between Trump and Harris. In fact, this poll shows that North Carolina is a toss-up. coin toss, predicting how the state’s vote will go.

“In both states, Trump leads on the important questions of who likely voters consider to be best suited to handle the economy and immigration. On the other hand, Harris leads in both states when it comes to abortion rights – an issue that has gained a lot of traction. since Harris took over as the Democratic nominee for president.

“Looking at the average of polls conducted at various polling firms, however, we see that although Trump is slightly ahead in Georgia, the race appears to be a little closer than it might appear in the Quinnipiac polls. And we could say in Much the same is true of North Carolina. Poll averages tend to show close races in both states.

“The survey took place on the ground between September 25th and 29th, and Hurricane Helene hit these and other southern states on September 26th. This would likely mean that, although the survey results appear largely consistent with the previous survey, we can still question ourselves about the extent to which the results could have been influenced by the fact that people were dealing with the hurricane and its dire consequences while the research was being conducted.”

The poll comes after Trump visited Georgia on Monday in the wake of Hurricane Helene, while Harris left the campaign to return to Washington for FEMA briefings.

The White House said Harris will visit affected areas “as soon as possible without disrupting emergency response operations.”

As the election race heats up, both candidates will be on the track as they pitch policies to voters across the country.

Trump will return to Wisconsin to bolster support in the Rust Belt. The former president will hold a rally in Waunakee before heading to other events in Michigan on Thursday and North Carolina on Friday.

Fresh off the vice presidential debate, Trump’s running mate, Senator J.D. Vance of Ohio, will also head to swing states this week, visiting Michigan on Wednesday and Georgia on Friday.

Harris is expected to campaign in Wisconsin on Wednesday to drum up support among Democrats, while her running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, is expected to campaign on a bus tour today through central Pennsylvania.